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| CHAPTER XVIII |
| HYPOTHESES |
| §1. |
Hypothesis defined and distinguished from Theory |
266 |
| §2. |
An Hypothesis must be verifiable |
268 |
| §3. |
Proof of Hypotheses |
270 |
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(1) Must an hypothetical agent be directly observable? (p. 270); Vera causa (p. 271) |
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(2) An Hypothesis must be adequate to its pretensions (p. 272); Exceptio probat regulam (p. 274) |
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(3) Every competing Hypothesis must be excluded (p. 275); Crucial instance (p. 277) |
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(4) Hypotheses must agree with the laws of Nature (p. 279) |
| §4. |
Hypotheses necessary in scientific investigation |
280 |
| §5. |
The Method of Abstractions |
283 |
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Method of Limits (p. 284); In what sense all knowledge is hypothetical (p. 286) |
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| CHAPTER XIX |
| LAWS CLASSIFIED; EXPLANATION; CO-EXISTENCE; ANALOGY |
| §1. |
Axioms; Primary Laws; Secondary Laws, Derivative or Empirical; Facts |
288 |
| §2. |
Secondary Laws either Invariable or Approximate Generalisations |
292 |
| §3. |
Secondary Laws trustworthy only in 'Adjacent Cases' |
293 |
| §4. |
Secondary Laws of Succession or of Co-existence |
295 |
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Natural Kinds (p. 296); Co-existence of concrete things to be deduced from Causation (p. 297) |
| §5. |
Explanation consists in tracing resemblance, especially of Causation |
299 |
| §6. |
Three modes of Explanation |
302 |
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Analysis (p. 302); Concatenation (p. 302); Subsumption (p. 303) |
| §7. |
Limits of Explanation |
305 |
| §8. |
Analogy |
307 |
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| CHAPTER XX |
| PROBABILITY |
| §1. |
Meaning of Chance and Probability |
310 |
| §2. |
Probability as a fraction or proportion |
312 |
| §3. |
Probability depends upon experience and statistics |
313 |
| §4. |
It is a kind of Induction, and pre-supposes Causation |
315 |
| §5. |
Of Averages and the Law of Error |
318 |
| §6. |
Interpretation of probabilities |
324 |
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Personal Equation (p. 325); meaning of 'Expectation' (p. 325) |
| §7. |
Rules of the combination of Probabilities |
325 |
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Detection of a hidden Cause (p. 326); oral tradition (p. 327); circumstantial and analogical evidence (p. 328) |
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| CHAPTER XXI |
| DIVISION AND CLASSIFICATION |
| §1. |
Classification, scientific, special and popular |
330 |
| §2. |
Uses of classification |
332 |
| §3. |
Classification, Deductive and Inductive |
334 |
| §4. |
Division, or Deductive Classification: its Rules |
335 |
| §5. |
Rules for testing a Division |
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